El Niño Breakdown
The recent decrease in trade wind strength over the Pacific, which stalled the decay of the current El Niño event, appears to have ended.
Central Pacific sea surface temperatures remain warmer than the long-term average.The sub-surface water of the tropical Pacific continues to cool. The SOI has fallen slightly through March. The latest approximate 30-day value of the SOI is −12. Trade winds have strengthened in the equatorial Pacific. Cloudiness near the date-line has fluctuated through March.Most international computer models are predicting a return to neutral conditions during the southern hemisphere autumn.